Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.152173 0.178028 0.206453 0.239954 0.278289 0.320712 0.371142
2025-12-21 0.105709 0.139613 0.181004 0.234926 0.302956 0.385534 0.492920
2025-12-28 0.083646 0.120959 0.170181 0.239143 0.332414 0.453203 0.620306
2026-01-04 0.070471 0.109857 0.165224 0.247499 0.365128 0.525430 0.758147
2026-01-11 0.060020 0.100037 0.159538 0.252618 0.392223 0.590937 0.891416
2026-01-18 0.051324 0.090985 0.153067 0.254812 0.414110 0.649793 1.019202
2026-01-25 0.044034 0.082723 0.146262 0.254975 0.432017 0.703314 1.142543
2026-02-01 0.037547 0.074594 0.138297 0.251836 0.443710 0.747537 1.254430
2026-02-08 0.032074 0.067257 0.130482 0.247639 0.452667 0.787451 1.361833
2026-02-15 0.026811 0.059359 0.120481 0.238186 0.451367 0.810052 1.442360
2026-02-22 0.025222 0.058364 0.122861 0.250966 0.489424 0.900284 1.640227
2026-03-01 0.021569 0.052498 0.115175 0.244082 0.491510 0.929253 1.736527
2026-03-08 0.018306 0.046951 0.107470 0.236458 0.491865 0.955946 1.832396
2026-03-15 0.015716 0.042440 0.101252 0.231016 0.495789 0.989348 1.942858
2026-03-22 0.014272 0.040347 0.099833 0.235128 0.518498 1.058549 2.122482
2026-03-29 0.013297 0.039223 0.100367 0.243354 0.550049 1.146409 2.342210
2026-04-05 0.012205 0.037591 0.099504 0.248395 0.575445 1.224216 2.548086
2026-04-12 0.011058 0.035587 0.097478 0.250555 0.594903 1.291703 2.738477
2026-04-19 0.009935 0.033423 0.094742 0.250717 0.609964 1.351323 2.917125
2026-04-26 0.008783 0.030937 0.090834 0.247624 0.617522 1.396179 3.069318
2026-05-03 0.007728 0.028511 0.086715 0.243491 0.622267 1.435406 3.212487
2026-05-10 0.006597 0.025587 0.080817 0.234181 0.614183 1.447006 3.299787
2026-05-17 0.006418 0.025746 0.083397 0.246768 0.658392 1.572922 3.631449